Before we dive into this week’s player’s pool, remember the most important rule of thumb of Daily Fantasy Sports.
Go for players with low variance in cash games, and go for players with high variance in tournaments.
Players I dislike this week:
Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals
A lot of your opponents will be mesmerized by San Francisco 49ers on the other side of the field. But Carson Palmer has not impressed this season, has not been consistent and I believe we’ll see a lot of running TD’s.
Swim against the stream when it comes to Carson Palmer on Sunday, let others have feeble production at a high price tag.
Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins
Yes, he has looked better lately, yes, he has TE Jordan Reed back, and yes, Vikings D has not looked good lately.
But, it’s still Kirk Cousin, and it’s still Vikings D.
Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars and Brock Osweiler, Houston Texans
Blake Bortles has not been good this year. Brock Osweiler has never been good.
This is an expected low-scoring affair, with two bad QB’s that you should stay very far away from when it comes to your fantasy lineups.
Todd Gurley, Los Angeles Rams
Has been a big disappointment all season long. Don’t expect that to change as long as the opponents don’t fear the passing game.
Isaiah Crowell, Cleveland Browns
Part of a running back committee with Duke Johnson. That should be enough to stay away. On top of that you can ad Baltimore Ravens run defense that have been great so far.
Allen Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars
Expected low-scoring affair, up against one of the best cornerbacks A.J. Bouye. With WR2 Allen Hurns out the Texans will zoom in on Robinson and stop him.
Brandon Marshall, New York Jets
Has not been fantasy worthy since Erick Decker was injured and lost for the year. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick doesn’t have it in him to create something without both his WR studs on the field.
Gary Barnidge, Cleveland Browns
Has not produced all year. Opponent Baltimore Ravens has not allowed even one TD to opposing TE’s all season long.
All the expensive ones that everybody else picks. Take a gamble on a cheap on and get lucky!
The combined fantasy production all year is -1. Minus one that is! Nuff said.
Players I like this week:
Tom Brady, New England Patriots
At home with all his weapons healthy. Against a Seahawks defense that are fatigued.
The only cloud on the Brady sky is that since they more or less have locked up the number one seed already they might want to run more with LaGarette Blount and save the passing targets. But we’ll save Blount for next week. Against Seahawks Tom Brady will have to air it out all match long.
Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans,
The game against Green Bay Packers has the highest total on the board. Aaron Rodgers has put up some bad games this year, but is still the most expensive QB this week.
Pick the opponent instead. Marcus Mariota is ranked 15th at FanDuel and 16th at DraftKings this week.
David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals
Will probably be owned by over 60 % of all the teams. That’s great news – we’ll have a distinct advantage over 40 % of the field.
David Johnson is the best running back in NFL, at least in fantasy PPR’s.
Running backs opposing San Francisco 49ers average over 200 yards per game. They have scored 13 TD’s in the last six games.
In week 5 Johnson had 185 yards and 2 TD’s against 49ers. I expect something similar this Sunday.
Alshon Jeffery, Chicago Bears
A bonafide WR1 that has not produced this season thanks to injuries on his QB’s. Jay Cutler is back and he always looks for Jeffery first.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers have one of the worst defenses in the league. Jeffery is cheap this week and a must in all your lineups.
Trevis Kelche, Kansas City Chiefs
Looks like the best options this week. All other top tight ends have serious question marks behind them.
Kelche will se a lot of targets with WR1 Jeremy Maclin out. Carolina Panthers allows the third-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends.
I expect Panthers to win this game. A good TE can rack up fantasy points in the 4th quarter when leading opponent plays “bend-don’t-break” and give away a lot of short passes.
Robbie Gould, Cincinnati Bengals
New York Jets has a decent defense. The strength is the D-line, which is one of the best in the league. They will stuff the run and I expect quite a few red-zone stops. That equals a lot of field goal attempts for Robbie Gould.
New Orleans Saints
The second cheapest defense this week is not good. But they play at home and if Denver Broncos QB Trevor Siemian wants to hang with Drew Brees he will have to air it out. With a little luck and a defensive TD, or two, this can turn out to be jackpot. You will be very alone with this pick. Solitude is what takes you to DFS heaven.