Daily Fantasy Football Advice week 16 – Motivation is key

Motivation is an issue this week. Some teams don’t have motivation because the season is over. Some players don’t have motivation because of a possible multitude of different reasons. And, most importantly, other DFS-players just don’t have the time to study for their optimal line up – they are busy buying Christmas presents, chopping down a Christmas tree or stuffing their face with Christmas food like some turkey.

I don’t have any dislikes this week. It’s Christmas time after all. But I wouldn’t recommend any players from the following teams:

New York Jets

A team that has given up and have the absolute horrible Bryce Petty as QB. Zero points is not out of the question against New England Patriots.

Carolina Panthers

I don’t think they have much left in the tank after a very disappointing season for a team that was a solid favorite in the Super Bowl less than a year ago.

San Diego Chargers

A team can only take so much. The injury list is as long as The Great Wall of China. I wouldn’t be surprised if they lost to Cleveland Browns.

San Francisco 49ers

This team has been a stinker all season long. Now it looks like the players don’t even believe in their coach Chip Kelly anymore. Will not put up many points against L.A. Rams.

L.A. Rams

This is not a good team. They have some talent at defense, fights hard and will beat San Francisco 49ers easily. But that doesn’t equal fantasy points with QB Jared Goff who will turn out as one of the biggest drafts bust in NFL history.

Cincinnati Bengals

Nothing to play for and their two biggest playmakers – A.J. Green and Tyler Eiffert – out.


Players I like week 14


QB Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers

Has been red hot lately. Playing at home against a Minnesota Vikings that have lost all form and identity. Pay the expensive price for Rodgers and move on in your line up.

WE Jordy Nelson, Green Bay Packers

They said Aaron Rodges was done. They where wrong.

They said Jordy Nelson was done, that he couldn’t dome back from his injury. They where wrong.

The combo Rodgers-Nelson has been the hottest one the last couple of weeks. Double down on Jordy Nelson and move on.

WR Devante Adams, Green Bay Packers

You need something cheaper after Rodgers and Nelson. Devante Adams fits the bill. With Randal Cobb out he will see plenty of targets.

The combo of a QB and WR from the same team is popular and often a good strategy for tournament play. Adding another WR from the same team can be your ticket to the jackpot.

This is his fantasy production the last six weeks:

21,6 – 7,2 – 28,3 – 2,7 – 20,4 – 4,5 – ?

Do you see the trend?

RB Alfred Blue, Houston Texans

I’m surprised of the cheap price tag of  Alfred Blue. He’s a seasoned veteran that always produces when he gets the chance. I guess nobody remembers last season when he filled in for Arian Foster.

Lamar Miller is out, but Houston still wants to run the ball. And they’ll probably have to with reserve Tom Savage as QB.

RB Jacquizz Rodgers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Doug Martin is out and Jacquizz Rodgers will get the attempts. The same reasoning for picking Alfred Blue. But Rodgers is better, has more experience as a starter and comes with a more attractive price tag. And faces New Orleans Saints instead of Cincinnati Bengals like Alfred Blue does.

Jacquizz Rodgers is the play of the week. He should be in every one of your line-ups.

TE Charles Clay, Buffalo Bills

For some reason Miami Dolphins have trouble covering Tight Ends. It has been very profitable for me to pick the TE against Dolphins over the years.

Charles Clay has always been a super talent and Bills paid a lot to acquire him from Dolphins. He’s had some injuries, but has looked good the last two games with 14,1 and 20,2 points.

K Justin Tucker, Baltimore Ravens

Tucker has been the best kicker this year, and it’s not even close.

Will get his chances in an expected close affair against the divisional archrival Pittsburgh Steelers.

There is a lot of variance at the kicker position. I strongly recommend paying up $500 extra to get the best in the business at your kicker position.

D New England Patriots

This is what I wrote last week when I recommended the defense of Miami Dolphins:

Bryce Petty is the name of the Jets QB. He has almost no experience and I expect a couple of mistakes in a probable low-scoring affair.

Jets O-line is not good, and Dolphins have a good pass rush.

Dolphins D was the top scorer with 21 points last week.

The same advice holds true this week with New England Patriots.

Merry Christmas! I think it will be extra merry if you follow my advice.